The IDF reported this week that it is prepared for two major escalation scenarios involving Iran, as talks to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and restore international nuclear inspections continue to stall. According to The Jerusalem Post, the IDF is preparing for the possibility of a U.S. offensive against Iran or surprise Iranian attacks on American bases across the Middle East and IDF bases hosting U.S. personnel.
The assessments cover a wide range of scenarios and potential responses, aimed at ensuring operational readiness in the event of a surprise Iranian attack.
The military is also preparing for the possibility that Israel’s adversaries in its immediate and wider regional surroundings could become involved in an escalation, whether through a coordinated operation, misunderstanding, or miscalculation.
Meanwhile, Israeli defense officials assess that US President Donald Trump would prefer to avoid a military confrontation and resolve tensions through a diplomatic agreement.
However, Israeli security assessments suggest that the Iranian leadership views Washington’s preference for diplomacy as a sign of weakness.
Oil tankers attempting to pass through the Strait of Hormuz continue to face attacks. Yesterday, four tankers were struck by explosions, for which the Iranian military claimed responsibility. On Wednesday, two supertankers were disabled by explosions. Meanwhile, Iran’s security chief stated that the country would not allow any of its enriched nuclear material to leave the country.
Reports also indicate that Iran is producing 50 ballistic missiles each month. Although much of its conventional military capability was disabled during the war, estimates suggest that Iran still possesses at least 1,700 missiles and has continued producing more.
Today, Mossad Director Roman Gofman is in Washington for talks with senior White House officials about the situation. President Trump indicated this week that a military attack is becoming less likely, favoring economic pressure instead and reserving military force for use only if deemed necessary.
The Fellowship and our supporters pray for the continued partnership between the U.S. and Israel as the conflict that began in February reaches another critical crossroads. We pray that wisdom and courage will guide the decisions ahead and ultimately lead to shalom, peace.